Tuesday, December 17, 2019

Are the polls accurate about Biden?

Photo by Nathan Dumlao on Unsplash

Joe Biden continues to lead the national polls. Are these polls accurate?

The impeachment process continues in the House, with a Senate hearing coming. In the meantime, Democratic candidates work to win the nomination for presidency. The national polls all show Biden in the lead (by as much as 8-9%). Can they be trusted? These same polls showed Hillary Clinton winning in 2016. They were wrong.

While these polls are of Democratic voters, are they reliable?

I'm thinking not. This is not a comment on Biden's platform or presidency. It is a comment on the reliability of polls. Polls are, in my opinion, a projection of our intentions as voters. But, intentions don't get votes. Votes are cast by those who show up and vote. So, I don't think I trust these polls or the conclusions you might draw from them for a possible winner in the Democratic Race.

I'm interested in your thoughts. Do you think these polls are reliable?

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